Monday, April 13, 2009

One man's opinion

MANIFESTO

Bob Reich on where we stand vis-à-vis Wall Street's sudden upturn:
[W]e're not at the beginning of the end. I'm not even sure we're at the end of the beginning. All of these pieces of upbeat news are connected by one fact: the flood of money the Fed has been releasing into the economy. Of course mortage rates are declining, mortgage orginations are surging, and people and companies are borrowing more. So much money is sloshing around the economy that its price is bound to drop. And cheap money is bound to induce some borrowing. The real question is whether this means an economic turnaround. The answer is it doesn't.
Reich also reminisces about a colloquy he had recently with a coterie of supply siders, including a potential challenger to Corrupt Chris's Senate seat:
I spent the better part of an hour last week debating Larry Kudlow on his CNBC program, along with Arthur Laffer and two other financial analysts, all of whom were sure that the stock market had hit bottom and was now poised for a major recovery. I admire cockeyed optimism, and I understand why Wall Street and its spokespeople want to see a return of the bull market. Hell, everyone with a stock portfolio wants to see it grow again. But wishing for something is different from getting it. And cockeyed optimism can wreak enormous damage on an economy. Haven't we already learned this?
Of course we haven't. When times go bad, the lesson of the last eight years or so has been simply to clap louder.

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