Monday, August 28, 2006

The absolutely Impossible Dream

SPORTING GOODS

Before I even had the chance to write the eulogy on the Sox season, they did it for me by being swept by the last place Mariners over the weekend. I didn't get a chance to see any of the games, so if anyone did, can you tell me if the Red Sox even brought bats to the games? Or did they just stand there and wait for their turn to take the field again? Or maybe they grabbed some salmon from Pike Place Fish Market downtown and went to bat with that.

Baseball Prospectus Odds calculator gives the Sox a 4.2% chance of coming back and making the playoffs this year. For perspective, that's lower than the Marlins, Diamondbacks, and a host of other crappy National League teams.

Meanwhile, Mets fans, BP gives the Mets this chance of making the playoffs: 99.99985%

By that math, if they played the remainder of the season 6,667 times, the Mets would likely miss the playoffs once.

2 Comments:

Blogger Yossarian said...

I like how if they played the remainder of the season 100,000 times, the Royals, Pirates, Devil Rays, and Orioles would never make the playoffs. Not once!

Monday, August 28, 2006 3:25:00 PM  
Blogger Darlucky said...

please, I need the punchline!

Monday, August 28, 2006 5:43:00 PM  

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